Arsenal

WWDWW

74%

confidence

CHE

Chelsea

WLWDL

Sure pickArsenal to win

Odds1.85

Win probability

54%Arsenal

24%Draw

22%Chelsea

Markets

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams score (GG)55%

Double chance 1X78%

Over 1.5 goals81%

Key factors

▲
Home fortress
Unbeaten in last 11 league games at the Emirates, conceding 0.6 per game.
ARS
▼
Key midfielder doubtful
Chelsea’s first-choice holding midfielder missed training Thursday (hamstring).
CHE
●
Midweek Europe
Both sides played Thursday; Chelsea travelled further, so rotation is a risk.
Both
●
London derby intensity
Last 6 meetings averaged 4.8 cards, a tighter game than form suggests.
Both

Our verdict

Arsenal’s home record plus Chelsea’s midfield absence tilts this clearly. We back the home win; for a safer slip, 1X with Over 1.5 combines at strong probability.

Head to head

2026-03-08Chelsea 1–2 ArsenalPremier League
2025-11-30Arsenal 1–1 ChelseaPremier League
2025-03-16Arsenal 1–0 ChelseaPremier League
2024-11-10Chelsea 1–1 ArsenalPremier League
2024-04-23Arsenal 5–0 ChelseaPremier League

FAQ

What is the best bet for Arsenal vs Chelsea?

Our top pick is Arsenal to win at odds of 1.85, rated 74% confidence.

Will both teams score?

We rate GG at 55% for this match.

When does Arsenal vs Chelsea kick off?

Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 UTC.